Recommendations of the Editorial team
A new one study Modeled the effects of the collapse of the US funded by the USA IllnessTreatment and prevention in developing countries. And comes to the conclusion that Elon Musk and Marco Rubio As some of the largest monsters will go into history if the financing and effective administration are not restored.
In short: millions of people will die, including millions of children.
The second Trump government started the heart the American development aid programs a dagger shock to move. Under the leadership of Musk and with the support of Foreign Minister Rubio, the US Agency for International Development (USAID) closed. And their life -saving programs in the field of global health either deleted or brought in disorder.
“Preprints with the Lancet”
The new study has not yet been completed. And has not yet been examined by specialist colleagues. It was published as part of a project called “Prepints with the Lancet”. However, it offers a first insight into the possible effects of the policy of the Trump government, which withdraws from foreign aid. Fueled by lies and conspiracy theories that are spread by Musk, according to which the USAid is “Radical left” and “criminal“Organization. The one deserves”In the wood chopper“To be thrown.
The study modeled the collapse of almost $ 13 billion in US financial means for health programs in developing countries. Including for the treatment and prevention of HIV and tuberculosis, family planning as well as the health of mothers and children. It forecasts an increase in global deaths and suffer from 2040 if these funds – almost a quarter of the global Gebernvestitions are reduced to zero.
More than 15 million additional deaths by HIV/AIDS. Mhonor than 2 million additional deaths
The results shock conscience. The cessation of US help will lead to people in poor countries to die from avoidable and treatable diseases in genocidal dimensions. This includes more than 15 million additional deaths by HIV/AIDS. Mhonor than 2 million additional deaths from tuberculosis. And almost 8 million additional children who will die from other diseases.
The effects on family planning are similarly serious. With tens of millions of new unplanned pregnancies (between 40 and 55 million). Contrary to the declared “pro-life” agenda of the government, the collapse of American aid is expected to lead to up to 16 million “uncertain abortions”.
According to the study, this massive suffering could be avoided if the United States continued its financial aid from 2024 at the level of “status quo”. The current funds for these programs make about 0.2 percent of the annual federal expenditure of the United States in the amount of 6.75 trillion Dollar.
The most fatal effects are expected by the restriction of the Pepper (President’s Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief). An enormous humanitarian achievement of the presidency of George W. Bush, which has widespread anti -retroviral medication in developing countries, especially in the most strongest African countries affected by HIV. The program has been attributed since 2023 older millions of lives saved And to have prevented the transfer from HIV to almost 8 million children.
Chaotic government of Trump, Musk and Rubio
The congress dominated by the Republicans is also complicit here. The approval for Pepper ran in March. And the current congress only has until September Medium providedwhich means that the future of the entire program is questioned. Regardless of the approved funds, the chaotic government of Trump, Musk and Rubio sabotaged the program on site.
Pepfar should actually be exempt from a 90-day “financing break” that the government had imposed on the majority of foreign aid. But USAID managed a large part of the Pepper-Hilfe. The authority no longer exists. Your remains were in that Foreign Ministry incorporated. International partners on site in countries such as South Africa have the Trump-Musk era with one “Fall from a cliff” compared. The George W. Bush Presidential Center has criticized the new government for “Pepper heavily undermined” have.
The future of US financial means for the prevention and treatment of tuberculosis as well as for health programs for children and mothers is similarly uncertain. According to an estimate, Trump’s freezing of the funds for tuberculosis control already has 11,000 people life costed) This reduction in medical aid comes to the fatal devastation In addition, caused by the cessation of food aid to relieve the famine in the poorest countries in the world.
The authors of the pre -print urgently warn of the consequences of further cuts. They emphasize that a withdrawal of the United States from its obligations for 2024 “decades of progress in global healthcare” would cause the number of deaths and illnesses to increase a level that had not been seen since the 1990s.

