Burnley have only scored 0.32 goals per game in the Championship this season.
Leeds and Burnley will meet in the Championship. PDO
The most interesting game of the day
In the Championship, an extremely important top game in terms of promotion to the Premier League will be played today, when Burnley, third in the series, will host the first team Leeds. Both seasons have been convincingly good so far. Burnley have lost only two of their 28 matches and Leeds only three.
Burnley’s defensive game deserves special attention. The team has scored only nine own goals in the 28 matches of the season. At home, Burnley’s balance is 6–7–0, goals 15–4.
However, the nine goals scored by Burnley don’t give a damn about their game and defensive strength, because they have scored 22.5 goals! It is very possible that balls will start to end up in Burnley’s goal as well.
For the vibes, both are having wildly good episodes. Burnley has 15 unbeaten league games in a row and Leeds has 10.
In the first meeting of the season in Leeds in September, Burnley won 0–1. The result did not fully correspond to the course of the game, as Leeds took the shots 17–7, the corners 9–3 and the expected goal 1.2–0.7.
Burnley has no fresh lineup problems in the match. A defender can be counted as a deficiency from Leeds Pascal Struijk and the attacker by Patrick Bamford. In terms of power relations, Leeds should be about 40% favorite even among the guests.
Burnley–Leeds starts at 22:00.
The best betting tip of the day
Bets on the Burnley-Leeds match are practically forced to be in favor of a lot of goals, while almost the entire rest of the market is in favor of a few goals.
Burnley is undeniably a defensively strong team and the picture of the game here is very likely to be low on goals. Even so, the goal number line has now been drawn so low that there is nothing to play for, at least on the side of low goals.
I consider the 1.73 odds offered for over 1.75 goals even worth a try with an estimate of 59%.
Games of the day: Burnley–Leeds over 1.75 goals (odds 1.73).
The total balance of the day’s games: 22/43/87%
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