In Pori, Ässie’s new and old goalkeeper are facing each other today.
Niklas Rubin has not reached last season’s level this season. Tomi Natri / All Over Press
The most interesting game of the day
The league’s most interesting duel of the evening will be seen in Pori, when the Ässät–Kärpät match pits the league’s goalkeeper sensations from this season and last season against each other Jan Bednar mixed Niklas Rubin.
What makes the meeting particularly interesting is that Rubin represented Äss last season, winning the regular season Goalkeeper statistics for both save percentage (91.51%) and the difference between goals conceded and expected goals conceded (xGAE -19.85).
This season, on the other hand, Ässien, who was acquired as Rubin’s replacement, leads the statistics in question by far Jan Bednar with a reading of 92.29% / -24.37. Rubin, on the other hand, has not found his last season’s level in Kärpi (yet?) with readings of 90.29% and xGAE -5.62.
In terms of betting, the most interesting observation of the match between Aces and Kärppi is that this match might now become (unless one of the two guards gets injured today) the first of the season where Bednar and Rubin are both on defense for the entire game. In the first mutual game of the season, Rubin was injured already in the fourth minute (he was replaced Visa Vedenpää) and in the second match, Kärppie’s goal was guarded by a stopwatch Felix Sandström (87.36% / +5.54). In the matches, a total of 13 goals were scored while waiting for 11 goals.
Now Veikkaus’ goal number coefficients, in my opinion, adapt too much to the mutual readings of those first two. The situation and the picture of the game will be different now that both have top goalkeepers.
Ässi’s lineup lacks key forwards Patrik Juhola, Dylan Fabre and Take Ylitalo and defenders Lasse Boelius and Miro Karjalainen.
The Kärppi’s shortage list includes forwards Tuukka Tieksola, Arttu Alasiurua, Olli Nikupeteri mixed Julius Junttila. In addition, there is a lack of standard defenders Tuomas Salmelaa. As a new player, the one who moved from Sport will make his debut in käppänututu Sebastian Stålberg.
Regarding the balance of power in the match, I agree with Veikkaus (odds scale 2.68/3.90/2.56) that Kärppie is a slight favorite.
Aces–Kärpät starts at 18:30.
The best betting tip of the day
The 1.72-coefficient offered for the match between the Aces and the Kärppi under 5.5 goals is enough until the experiment with an estimate of 59%.
Games of the day: Aces–Kärpät less than 5.5 goals (coefficient 1.72)
Last year’s total balance of the day’s games: 5/8/109%
Every day Iltalehti chooses the most interesting game of the day and the best game destination of the day. You can always find them in the Betting and Ravit section.