Cristina Kirchner has a broad positive image in districts such as Malvinas Argentinas, Merlo, Florencio Varela, La Matanza, Moreno, José C. Paz, Lomas de Zamora, Almirante Brown and Quilmes, where ranges between 62% and 52%with between 15 to 7 points of advantage over its negative image, also noting significant growth in some districts according to measurements by the consulting firm CB.
Nevertheless, its acceptance decreases in a key territory such as La Matanzaand the falls accompany Ezeiza, Esteban Echeverría, Pilar, Berazategui and San Miguel, where today the negative image exceeds the positive image by 8 to 10 points. And loses even in Avellanedaterritory of the vice-president of the Instituto Patria and minister of Habitat, Jorge Ferraresiwhere the positive image, of 47% and with a recovery in June, is not enough to match the 50.7% negative valuation.
And there is a greater negativity from the vice president in territories governed by Together for Change: like February 3, where its positivity is 44.5 percent; Lanús, 42.6 percent against 54%; La Plata, where 34.9 percent marks a significant gap with 64.6% negative; San Isidro, where it barely has 26% approval against 73% refusal; and Vicente López, territory of Jorge Macriwhere 23.1% positive image contrasts with almost 75% negative.
the overwhelming negative image of Cristina Kirchner could also bring about a change of political sign in territories today governed by the Front of All: how Hummock, where the negativity of the vice president reaches 68%; Tigre, where it marks 60%; Y escobarKirchnerist territory Ariel Sujarchukwhere a rejection of more than 50% is noted.
In this sense, the most moderate image of Alberto Fernández appears as a better alternative to fight for votes in territories where Together he governs today, and its positivity matches its negative image -and even exceeds it- in districts such as Lanús. And the Peronist vote accompanies him in the same way in La Matanza, where his positive image exceeds that of the vice president by 6 points.
“The data in the suburbs is that Cristina and Alberto are not very different in image. At the federal level there is a differential of the President, but Cristina is consolidating her hard core after some of Alberto’s measures made his voters apathetic”, the director of CB Consultora, Cristian Buttié, analyzes in dialogue with Perfil.com.
Conversely, the positive image of Mauricio Macri exceeds the negative only in the districts that Together for Change governs in North Zone, that is, Vicente López and San Isidro, where it has even substantially improved its image in recent times. Also notice a rise of almost 3 points in Morón, Lanús and San Miguelwhere positivity is in any case at 37%, against 61% negative.
In districts such as Escobar, Ezeiza, Lomas de Zamora, Avellaneda and La Matanza, the negative image exceeds the positive by 3 to 1, and in the territories where the vice president is strong, the image of the former president is even at 4 to 1 in the negative versus against positiveand would lose by beating in Berazategui, Malvinas Argentinas, Merlo, Quilmes, Jose C. Paz and Moreno.
However, in recent months it has been noted in some of these territories, such as the case of Berazategui, José C. Paz, Moreno, and even in La Matanza, a improvement of Mauricio Macri in the order of two percentage points.
There, the high positivity of the other candidate that the PRO has, the Head of Government of Buenos Aires, Horacio Rodriguez Larretawould allow you not only one potential victory in the province of Buenos Aires if the elections were today, but also to recover a good part of the territoriality that the current opposition coalition gave up in the 2019 municipal elections.
The positive image of Rodríguez Larreta is overwhelmingly high in San Miguel, San Isidro, Vicente López, La Plata, 3 de Febrero, Tigre, Morón, Esteban Echeverría, General San Martín and Avellanedaterritories in which it ranges from 71% to 55%, and the negative ranges between 23 and 39%.
These indices could propitiate returns such as that of Ramiro Tagliaferro, recovering Morón. And a victory of Segundo Cernadas or Nicholas Massot about Julio Zamora in Tigre, and even disputing Gabriel Katopodis, current Minister of Public Works, for San Martín. And finally even fighting inch by inch in Avellaneda, historically strong territory for Kirchnerism.
And the same fate, although with a much more closed stage, would occur in Escobar, Ezeiza, Moreno and Quilmes, where Martiniano Molina wants to recover the district today governed by the fielder Mayra Mendoza.
The negative image of Larreta only exceeds the positive in 5 suburban districts, including Berazategui, Almirante Brown, La Matanza, Lomas de Zamora and José C. Paz, where the gap ranges from three points to 7, but showing a growth of the PRO candidate in three of those districts, with an improvement of 2.5 points in La Matanza, the territory where Together for Change wants to hit the ground running in the 2023 elections.
