The most important thing in brief
- Fed comment is currently weighing on Bitcoin
- Seasonal strength speaks for recovery
- Technical brands in focus
🪙 Introduction
The Bitcoin forecast After a weak trading week, November is initially showing restraint. The key currency of the crypto markets temporarily fell below $115,000 markafter the US Federal Reserve Bank On Wednesday, the key interest rate was lowered as expected, but questioned further interest rate hikes. But despite short-term uncertainties, the mood in the crypto market remains cautiously optimistic.
► Bitcoin ISIN: XC000A2YY636 | WKN: A2YY63 | Ticker: BITCOIN
✅ Three key takeaways
1️⃣ 📉 Fed comment is currently weighing on Bitcoin
-
The Fed cut the key interest rate by 25 basis pointsbut Fed chief Jerome Powell stressed that a further rate cut in December not guaranteed be.
-
The futures market is currently only pricing one 70% probability for a December reduction.
-
That puts pressure on Risk Assets like cryptocurrencies – Bitcoin responded by falling below $115,000.
2️⃣ 📈 Seasonal strength speaks for recovery
-
Despite the recent correction, the seasonal Bitcoin forecast positive.
-
The November is historically the most bullish month of the year – with an average Return of around 41%.
-
The environment could therefore be one technical countermovement benefit if the markets stabilize.
3️⃣ ⚠️ Technical brands in focus
-
Crucial key level: $115,000-$116,000.
A sustained break upwards could lead the way $120,000 and pave beyond. -
On the downside: one case under $105,000-$106,000 probably one Testing the psychologically important $100,000 mark trigger.
-
Traders should therefore Momentum signals and pay attention to behavior in these zones.
📊 Bitcoin Forecast – Technical Overview
|
Key figure
|
Value/Meaning
|
|---|---|
|
Current course area
|
$110,000-$115,000
|
|
Important support
|
$105,000-$106,000
|
|
Decisive resistance
|
$115,000-$116,000
|
|
Target at breakout
|
$120,000-$125,000
|
|
Historical return in November
|
+41% on average
|
🎓 Empfohlene Ausbildungsartikel zum ThemaBITCOIN on the weekend, THE VIDEO, November 1st, 2025:
🧠 Conclusion: Bitcoin forecast – short-term uncertainty, long-term opportunities
Bitcoin currently is under pressure, but the medium-term trend remains intact. While the Fed statements cause short-term volatility, seasonal effects and the bullish overall picture could offer new buying opportunities in the long term.
👉 Investors should pay close attention to price setbacks – the Bitcoin forecast points to a potential comeback direction $120,000 there.
Bitcoin chart analysis – Daily:
Source: xStation5 by XTB, recorded on November 1st, 2025. Time history according to the information directly in the chart. Past results are not an indicator of future performance. The trading instrument is quoted in USD. Possible currency fluctuations can affect returns.
THIS IS WHAT WINNERS LOOK LIKE!
- EXCELLENT from Handelsblatt, Börse Online, Brokervergleich and Brokerwahl.de!
- Stock trading + CFD Trading + Interest + Broker App: EXCELLENT
- Quality, service, fees & conditions – everything EXCELLENT at XTB!
- Find out more here
❓ FAQ – Bitcoin News & Bitcoin current
❓ What is the current Bitcoin forecast for 2025?
The current one Bitcoin forecast remains positive despite short-term weakness. After the pullback below USD 115,000, analysts expect a recovery in the medium term. Should Bitcoin be the brand of $116,000 overcome sustainably $120,000-$125,000 realistic course goals.
❓ Why is Bitcoin currently under pressure?
Bitcoin currently suffers from the uncertainty after the last one US Federal Reserve meeting. The Fed has signaled that further interest rate cuts are not guaranteed – weighing on risky assets like cryptocurrencies. Nevertheless, the long-term trend remains stable.
❓ Which technical brands are important for Bitcoin now?
Essential support is included $105,000-$106,000while the area around $115,000-$116,000 is considered the central resistance. A breakout above could open the way to new highs above $120,000 free up.
❓ Is now a good time to buy Bitcoin?
After the recent price decline, long-term investors have the opportunity to buy if there is weakness. Fluctuations are possible in the short term – but they remain the same in the long term Uptrend intact, supported by increasing acceptance and institutional interest.
❓ How does US interest rate policy affect Bitcoin?
The Fed’s monetary policy has a major impact Bitcoin. Lower interest rates encourage risky investments, while interest rate breaks or restraint – as is currently the case – can have a short-term impact on the price. In the long term, Bitcoin will remain popular Inflation protection investment.
Disclosure in accordance with Section 80 WpHG for the purpose of possible conflicts of interest
The author (m/f/d) may be invested in the securities or underlying assets discussed.
The authors of the publications prepare this information at their own risk. Analyzes and opinions are not written with reference to the specific investment objectives and needs of any particular person. XTB publications that comment on specific situations in the financial markets as well as general statements made by XTB employees regarding the financial markets no advice of the customer by XTB and cannot be construed as such. The publication does not constitute an offer, advice, recommendation or solicitation to buy, sell or hold any financial investment. XTB is not liable for any losses that arise directly or indirectly as a result of decisions made in relation to the content of the publications.
Past performance of trading assets is not a reliable indicator of future performance!
The information provided does NOT include any cost considerations such as transaction costs, conversion costs or spreads. Such costs may be incurred and may affect the results. The return may increase or decrease due to currency fluctuations if the information is based on figures denominated in a currency other than the official currency of the country in which the investor or potential investor is based or in which currency the trading account is held.
XTB SA (including its branches) is not a tax advisor and does not check whether an investment decision is tax-efficient for customers. Tax treatment depends on a customer’s personal circumstances and may be subject to change in the future. Prices or the value of a financial instrument can rise and fall.
RISK NOTICE for CFD
CFDs are complex instruments and involve a high risk of losing money quickly due to the leverage effect. 71% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Investment success and profits from the past do not guarantee success in the future. Contents, newsletters and communications from XTB do not constitute investment advice. The communications are as Promotional communication to understand.