Bitcoin with a red September start: Is the crypto trend reversal in autumn?
Bitcoin starts with red signs in September 2025. Is the crash at $ 100,000 or does the turnaround come in autumn?
Values in this article
currency
88,814,7572 CHF -65.1040 CHF -0.07%
95,223,7238 EUR -27.9438 EUR -0.03%
82,422,8405 GBP -287,6682 GBP -0.35%
16,426,097,0879 JPY -93,834,8633 JPY -0.57%
111,437,0319 USD -663,7141 USD -0.59%
Indices
6.512.6 pts 17.5 points 0.27%
• Bitcoin starts September 2025 in red
• Important support broken
• Historically Bearish September
September has started anything but friendly for Bitcoin and the cryptom market. After a decline of around 6.5 percent in August – according to Coinglass data – the oldest and best -known cryptocurrency also slipped significantly in early September. The four -month profit series ended. At the same time, the Spot-Bitcoin ETFs listed in the USA recorded drainage of $ 751.12 million in August, as reported by the Sosovalue data platform.
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Bitcoin under pressure: technical weakness prevails
According to the TradingView data, the recent losses, which Coindesk calls, have broken several important support zones. This includes the Ichimoku cloud- a technical indicator that shows support and resistance levels and the trend course- as well as the 50 and 100-day average. The high points from May ($ 111,965) and December ($ 109,364) were also undercut. Experts see this a clear sign of an increasing Bearish momentum.
Technical indicators such as the so-called Gupy Multiple Moving Average (GMMA) and the MACD histogram confirm this assessment. The GMMA uses several sliding average to compare short -term and long -term market movements, while the MACD measures the relationship between two moving average. Both indicators help to identify trend changes and the momentum in the course of the course. “The short-term EMA band of the GMMA has crossed the long-term band-a clear signal for a bear-up momentum shift. At the same time, the weekly MacD histogram has fallen below zero,” says Coindesk. This increases the risk that Bitcoin falls towards the 200-day line or even the psychologically important brand of $ 100,000.
Seasonal patterns speak against a quick relaxation
Statistics also have little hope: Historically, September is a weak month for Bitcoin. According to the data from Coinglass, BTC has fell by 3.25 percent on average since 2013 and closed in eight from twelve years. Six loss years in a row between 2017 and 2022 also burden the balance sheet. The turning point was not until 2023: Bitcoin has been able to complete in a row in a row since then. In 2024 a full plus of 7.29 percent could be recorded – a glimmer of hope for investors.
September originally owes its bad reputation to the stock market. He is also the weakest month of the year on the S&P 500. The reason for this according to the industry connoisseurs: After the summer break, investors mostly occur risk control, while funds reorganize their portfolios for the fourth quarter.
“Uptober” in autumn: glimmer of hope for crypto bulls
Despite the tense location, chart analysts still see opportunities for a counter -movement. The weak September traditionally follows October, which investors like to call “Uptober”. According to Coinglass, he brought Bitcoin a whopping profit in six years in a row and only had to accept losses twice in the entire history.
The red start in September nevertheless puts the crypto bulls under pressure. Technical indicators and seasonal patterns indicate an initially persistent weakness. Stabilization now depends on whether Bitcoin defends the 200-day line. If this does not happen, the risk of a relapse may remain at $ 100,000.
Bettina Schneider / Editor Finanzen.net
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