THEat the closing ceremony of the Cannes Film Festival 2025 will go broadcast tomorrow on Sky Uno e on the Festival website at 19.00preceded by a long red carpet. The French actor and director Laurent Lafitte leads the delivery of the prizes who, roughly around 20.00will call on stage Juliette Binoche jury president to announce The winning film of the Palma d’Oro. But who I am the favorites Of this 78th edition?
Cannes Film Festival 2025, who will win? The predictions about films and actors favored to victory
One day after the closing of the festival they are missing 2 movies to complete the 2025 competition: Jeune méres of the Dardenne brothers e The Mastermind by Kelly Reichardt. Two excellent directors who have conquered many prizes in the past; Dardenne also have The golden palm was already won twice with Rosette (1999) e The enfant (2005).
Jeune méres It is the story of five young mothers: Jessica, Perla, Julie, Naïma and Ariane, pregnant women guests in a family home. The Mastermind He protagonists Josh O’Connor and Alana Haim – and tells of a theft made by a very good thief In the America of the 70s animated by protests against the Vietnam War and the growing movement of women’s liberation.
In short, two titles that on paper can safely aspire to one of the Main prizes. But the Dardenne and Reichardt must beat A truly fierce competition: According to many insiders, The quality of the competition was not so satisfying for a long time.
A scene from the film “Jeune Méres” by the Dardenne brothers. (Les Films du Fleuve)
The favorites for the Palma d’Or at the Cannes Film Festival 2025: Sentimental Value by Joachim Trier o It was just an accident by Jafar Panahi
For Vanity Fair USA, The winner of Cannes 2025 will most likely be Sentimental ValueNorwegian film Joachim Trier starring Stellan Skarsgard, Renate Reinveve and Elle Fanning. Acclaimed by almost all critics, not only for the excellent direction but also for the choral interpretation Of all its protagonists, the film tells a family story set in the world of theater.
To contend for the palm to Trier there would be It was just an accident of the Iranian Jafar Panahi. Surreal thriller with a Beckettian flavor that tells the story of A director who came out of prison who, recognizing the step of one of his torturers, kidnaps him. A strongly critical film towards Iran and that, metaphorically, he retraces the events of Panahi himself, imprisoned in 2022 by the regime For propaganda against the system. A palm that would therefore have a great political value.
A scene from Joachim Trier’s “Sentimental Value” film. (Photo of Kasper Tuxen)
Chance of victory also for Nouvelle vague by Linklater and Kleber Mendonça Filho
Indiewire instead focuses on Sirat of the German Oliver Laxelysergic journey of a father and a son in Morocco in search of his daughter/sister who disappeared during a rave in the desert. Possible outsider? Nouvelle vague by Richard Linklaterfilm loved by cinephiles that reconstructs the processing of Jean-Luc Godard’s masterpiece Until the last breath.
Always for IndiewirePanahi has many chances of victory even if the site also puts on the table The Secret Agent of the Brazilian Kleber Mendonça Filho. Epic of almost 3 hours set in Brazil in the middle of the military dictatorship of the 70s. The protagonist is Marcelo, man fleeing from the regime who finds herself soon trapped in a spiral of paranoiasuspicion and invisible threats.
Jennifer Lawrence best actress? A concrete possibility
For best actress The most popular name is that of Jennifer Lawrence, mother consumed by postpartum depression Of Die, My Love by Lynne Ramsay. For the American actress, the chances of victory are truly high (as indeed to see it named at the Oscars 2026). Possible contenders are the French actress Lea Druckerpoliceman fighting against police corruption in the film Dossier 137, And Renate Reinveveprotagonist of Sentimental Value.
As for the best actor, Wagner Moura is in pole positionvery good protagonist of The Secret Agent Turned by Guillaume Marbeck/Jean-Luc Godard of Nouvelle vague. It seems instead that they are not there chancedespite the monumental performance, For Joaquin Phoenix, very good in Eddington by Ari Aster Ma already winner of the prize a few years ago with You Were Never Really here by Lynne Ramsey. Opposite situation for Josh O’Connor, protagonist of the gay love story of The History of Sound (alongside Paul Mescal).
Jennifer Lawrence on the Cannes red carpet for “Die, My Love”. (Getty Images)
And Mario Martone? Few chances for his Out
Despite the Italian and French criticism, he welcomed the film very well of the Italian director, Out it is not In no list of possible winners of the Cannes 2025 festival. Martone’s latest work was however highly appreciated by foreign magazine Of criticism – while the story of a strong and courageous woman like Goliarda Sapienza/Golino It cannot fail to have left Juliette Binoche indifferent.
If you hardly Out It will be a contender for the palm, It could have some chances for the prize to the best actress Given the Fantastic interpretations of both Golino and Matilda De Angelis. Both praised in a fair way. About Matilda Variety he wrote: «De Angelis is electric in the role of chaotic and self -destructive Roberta And the rhythm of the film is accelerated every time it enters the frame ». Words that bode well for a “surprise” prize to the Bolognese actress.
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