A few weeks ago like the desperate attempt to climb the last straw that could save Borussia Dortmund’s season, a game day before the end of the Bundesliga season 2024/25 suddenly became a very real scenario: BVB could crown its catch-up with one place in the top four of the league. This is also made possible by the schedule, which with the duel SC Freiburg against Eintracht Frankfurt has a final that could hardly be more explosive.
After the convincing 4-2 away win at Bayer Leverkusen, BVB can suddenly secure a place in the top four in the league and thus a starting place in the Champions League on its own. Borussia also owes FC St. Pauli that the door is open for the black yellow again, who can only descend a point at 2-2 on Sunday evening, so that it can only descend very theoretically and also gave the Dortmund a good starting position before the last match day.
Because BVB wins its home game against the already relegated Holstein Kiel (Saturday, 3:30 p.m. in sport.de-Live-ticker) difference with at least two goals, the BorussenCommack almost surely ends in the European football king class.
This is possible, since the two clubs SC Freiburg (4th with 55 points and a goal difference of -2) and Eintracht Frankfurt (3rd with 57 points and a goal difference of +20) meet directly in front of the BVB (5. With 54 points and a goal difference of +17).
If Frankfurt wins, the BVB would suffice a success in the same amount or even a draw against Kiel, Freiburg decides on the duel about the safe CL qualification in itself, the matter is a bit more complicated: BVB would then also get 57 points with a success, but would have to win with at least two goals in order to catch up in the goal difference to Eintracht. In the case of a defeat, the SGE would still be at +19, the BVB would also be in a win with two goals. In this case, the more shot goals would determine the ranking.
Here the BVB currently has three more goals. If the BVB were to win against Kiel with two goals, Frankfurt would only be in front of the Ruhr area with a tight bankruptcy if you score at least six of your own hits.
This is how BVB comes to the Champions League:
– Dortmund plays at least a draw against Kiel/Frankfurt wins against Freiburg
– Dortmund wins against Kiel/Frankfurt and Freiburg.
– Dortmund wins with three or more goals difference against Kiel
– The SC Freiburg wins with at least +2 goals against Frankfurt/BVB with two goals ahead of Kiel.
– The SC Freiburg with +1-goal wins against Frankfurt/BVB wins with two goals ahead of Kiel. Unless Frankfurt scores at least six of their own goals
It is clear that a lot speaks for BVB, which has not had the best experiences on the last match day in the past: The 2: 2 against the 1st FSV Mainz 05 against a home backdrop, which cost the championship in the summer of 2023, is considered the biggest goal of the younger club history.